Manitoba Labour Market Outlook


 

Workers

 

Key Facts

  • Over 723,000 workers will be available by 2026 to meet the needs of Manitoba’s economy.
  • New entrants, immigrants and other mobility will add 107,000 new workers to Manitoba’s labour market, while interprovincial migration, retirements and deaths will subtract from the number of workers available to fill jobs.

 

  How is this information helpful?
This page provides information on where Manitoba’s future workforce will be coming from.

This information can help government, educational institutions and industry gain a better understanding of the components of Manitoba’s future workforce, and support planning for the increase of labour supply from specific sources to address potential shortfalls in the labour market.

 

 

What are the current and future characteristics of Manitoba’s workforce?

As of 2021, there were 697,900 individuals in Manitoba’s workforce.

It is expected that by 2026, this number will increase to 723,800, a net increase of 25,900 workers, or 5,200 every year.

 

Manitoba Labour Force, Estimated and Projected - 2021 to 2026

Graph showing labour force levels from 2021 to 2026


Factors influencing Manitoba’s future workforce

A number of different components of our population influence changes in the available workforce.

Losses:

  • Out-migration – Manitoba will lose 24,000 more workers to other provinces between 2022 and 2026 than it will gain from other parts of Canada.
  • Retirement and deaths – 78,100 workers, or 15,600 workers per year, will leave the workforce due to retirement and deaths by the end of 2026.

Gains:

  • New entrants – An estimated 64,000 new entrants, or 12,800 per year, will join Manitoba’s workforce for the first time after finishing their education.
  • Immigration – International immigration continues to be an important contributor to growing Manitoba’s population and workforce. An estimated 36,000 additional workers will be available over the next five years due to immigration to Manitoba.

 

Source of Workforce Change 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Retirements -12,700 -13,000 -13,300 -13,500 -13,800 -66,300
Deaths -2,300 -2,300 -2,400 -2,400 -2,400 -11,800
New entrants 12,800 12,800 12,800 12,800 12,800 64,000
New international immigration 7,200 7,200 7,200 7,200 7,200 36,000
Net interprovincial immigration -4,800 -4,800 -4,800 -4,800 -4,800 -24,000
Net other mobility 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 7,000
Note: "Other mobility" includes individuals rejoining the workforce after a time away and those returning to work after the COVID-19 lockdown and recovery phase.

 

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