Manitoba Labour Market Outlook


 

Job Openings

 

Key Facts

  • There are expected to be about 114,300 job openings over the next five years.
  • 68% of job openings are expected to be created because of retiring workers, while 32% are expected to be new jobs created by economic growth.
  • Approximately 22,860 openings will be created each year between 2022 and 2026.
  • Sales and service occupations will have the highest number of job openings at 25,100, followed by education, law and social, community and government services (19,200).
  • 58% of jobs available over the next five years are expected to require post-secondary education.

 

  How is this information helpful?
This page provides information on where future job opportunities can be found. It includes data on whether openings are for new jobs (expansion demand) or to replace existing workers (replacement demand), information on what occupational groups and sectors will see the most job openings and what education levels will be required to access those jobs.

This information can help government and industry make decisions for future workforce and educational program planning, and can provide job seekers a high-level idea of where future opportunities may be found.

 

 

Job Openings by Source

Job openings due to workers passing away tend to remain relatively constant over time, and account for 2,300 to 2,400 openings every year.

Job openings due to retirements are projected to show a slight increase from 2022 to 2026 as our population is aging. Economic expansion is expected to slow down after 2022. As a result, job openings due to expansion show a decline in 2023 and are then expected to level off.

After 2022, replacement demand is expected to significantly exceed expansion demand in each of the next four years, making succession planning an important activity for business.

 

Graph of job openings by source, from 2022 to 2026

 

 

Job Openings by Occupational Groups

Sales and service occupations, occupations in trades, transport and equipment operation, and in business, finance and administration account for over 50% of the total projected job openings over the next five years. The occupation category that offers the fewest job openings (2,200) is natural resources, agriculture and related productions.

Job openings because of the retirement of existing workers are expected to be most prominent in natural resources, agriculture and related production, where all net openings will be due to retirements, followed by manufacturing and utilities (91%) and management occupations (87%). This indicates that these groups have a relatively older workforce.

 

 

Expansion Replacement Total job openings Replacement demand %
Management 1,500 10,100 11,600 87%
Business, finance and administration 4,900 12,400 17,200 72%
Natural and applied sciences 700 4,000 4,600 86%
Health occupations 3,500 6,400 9,900 65%
Education, law and social, community and government services 8,600 10,600 19,200 55%
Art, culture, recreation and sport 2,600 1,600 4,200 38%
Sales and service 9,600 15,500 25,100 62%
Trades, transport and equipment operators 5,800 11,800 17,600 67%
Natural resources, agriculture and related production -1,200 2,000 700 269%
Manufacturing and utilities 400 3,700 4,100 91%
Total 36,200 78,100 114,300 68%

 

 

Job Openings by Industry

  • The highest number of job openings in the next five years are expected in health care and social assistance, with 19,800 openings, followed by wholesale and retail trade (15,400 openings) and educational services (12,800).
  • Along with manufacturing and public administration, these industries will account for over half of the job openings in Manitoba over the next five years.
  • The number of retiring workers that need to be replaced are also highest in these occupations. In general, retirements are a larger source of job openings than economic growth in all sectors of Manitoba’s economy.
  • Agriculture, utilities, and forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, oil and gas are expected to see fewer jobs in 2026 than in 2022 and all net demand in these industries is expected to be a result of retirements.

 

Graph of Manitoba job openings by industry, from 2022 to 2026


 

Job Openings by Skills Levels

Out of 114,300 forecasted job openings, around 58% (66,200) will require some post-secondary training. The remaining 48,100 openings do not require post-secondary training.

 

Graph of Manitoba job openings by sklll level, from 2022 to 2026

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